Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.020591 0.023360 0.026388 0.029947 0.034022 0.038547 0.043960
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.015840 0.019490 0.023836 0.029409 0.036391 0.044878 0.056027
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.013336 0.017314 0.022327 0.029141 0.038213 0.049945 0.066382
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.011582 0.015704 0.021145 0.028901 0.039757 0.054536 0.076385
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.010569 0.014884 0.020814 0.029629 0.042527 0.060902 0.089408
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.009452 0.013758 0.019885 0.029333 0.043708 0.065028 0.099551
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008877 0.013324 0.019864 0.030305 0.046785 0.072180 0.115018
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.007901 0.012180 0.018656 0.029310 0.046678 0.074357 0.122768
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.007187 0.011361 0.017850 0.028833 0.047294 0.077670 0.132663
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.006439 0.010412 0.016741 0.027737 0.046743 0.078948 0.139140
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.006203 0.010269 0.016912 0.028768 0.049869 0.086738 0.157993
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005980 0.010124 0.017058 0.029757 0.052999 0.094825 0.178311
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.005719 0.009898 0.017063 0.030524 0.055860 0.102830 0.199691
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.005293 0.009349 0.016456 0.030128 0.056534 0.106850 0.213800
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.004928 0.008876 0.015939 0.029841 0.057366 0.111225 0.229123
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004606 0.008451 0.015472 0.029595 0.058240 0.115749 0.245287
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004443 0.008309 0.015515 0.030342 0.061169 0.124726 0.272200
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004163 0.007921 0.015057 0.030039 0.061895 0.129181 0.289581
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.004058 0.007862 0.015229 0.031036 0.065457 0.140060 0.323134
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.003739 0.007353 0.014470 0.030015 0.064547 0.141024 0.333318
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.003503 0.006994 0.013982 0.029525 0.064757 0.144503 0.350033
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.003224 0.006525 0.013233 0.028401 0.063420 0.144284 0.357468
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.003172 0.006525 0.013462 0.029459 0.067212 0.156506 0.398429